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But of course China itself - for all its fraught relationship with the West - has been the biggest reserve stockpiler since it joined the global trading system 20 years ago amid tight control of its exchange rate. A big question for many economists is whether reserve managers seeking safe, liquid havens for hard cash built up through fixing or capping domestic currencies or via commodity windfalls may pre-emptively reshuffle holdings to avoid heightened sanctions risk - either in the current environment or for some undetermined future reason.
The quick answer from most experts is that there's simply no real alternative at the moment for most countries. And there was little adverse reaction in western bond markets this week to such talk - quite the opposite, if anything. Even though Chinese government bonds have been a darling for many asset managers in recent years, there are few other destinations as large or as liquid - or as free from market or credit risk - than the U.
Treasury or core EU sovereign debt markets. China's yuan may seem obvious - but Beijing is deliberately slow to liberalize its financial markets. But that's not to say there will be no impact. Berkeley professor and long-standing expert on world reserve management Barry Eichengreen reckons that of the two imperatives behind reserve stockpiling - to intervene or stabilize domestic markets or as a war chest against shocks, disasters or balance of payments crises - the latter may now be in question.
That in itself could have a profound impact on world markets and on the model for emerging markets and developing economies. Former Goldman Sachs global economist Jim O'Neill said it could ultimately lead to major reform of the global system. S-centric system. The author is editor-at-large for finance and markets at Reuters News. Any views expressed here are his own.
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